Will Pep Guardiola be fired by the end of the season (2025-2026)?

Will Pep Guardiola be fired by the end of the season (2025-2026)?
Photo by Braden Hopkins / Unsplash

Manchester City are navigating a tricky phase in the 2025-26 Premier League campaign, and the question on everyone's lips is whether Pep Guardiola could face the sack before the season wraps up. With the club still very much in the mix for silverware, speculation is swirling—especially on prediction markets like Predicta Markets, where this exact market is heating up.

Current Standings and Form Snapshot (as of late January 2026)

Manchester City sit in 2nd place in the Premier League after 23 matches:

  • Record: 14 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses
  • Points: 46
  • Goal difference: +26 (47 goals scored, 21 conceded)
  • They're just 4 points behind leaders Arsenal (50 points), with Aston Villa level on points but behind on goal difference.

Recent weeks have been challenging. City went four league games without a win entering late January, including:

  • A heavy defeat in the Manchester derby at Old Trafford
  • Draws against Chelsea, Brighton, and Sunderland
  • A winless start to 2026 that saw them drop ground in the title race

However, they snapped the streak with a convincing 2-0 home win over Wolverhampton Wanderers on January 24, goals from Omar Marmoush and Antoine Semenyo (with Erling Haaland rested as a sub). This result keeps them firmly in contention, especially after bolstering the squad in the January window.

The Pressure and Speculation

Guardiola's position has come under scrutiny amid the dip in form. Pundits and reports have fueled debate:

  • Some outlets highlight a potential "crisis" and question if the magic has faded after nearly a decade of dominance.
  • Wild claims (e.g., from Richard Keys) suggest Pep could even walk away imminently or definitely at season's end.
  • Guardiola himself has addressed exit talk, noting his contract runs until 2027 and insisting he's "never broken a contract." He's repeatedly shut down firing rumors with comments like "You want to fire me?" while emphasizing his commitment.

The club has shown unwavering support in the past—even through last season's trophyless run and ongoing Premier League charges. No credible reports indicate the board is actively considering a dismissal right now.

an aerial view of a soccer field in a stadium
Photo by Mylo Kaye / Unsplash

The Bigger Picture

City remain active on multiple fronts (Premier League title race, Champions League, domestic cups), and recent reinforcements plus the Wolves victory suggest recovery is underway. But with tough fixtures ahead (e.g., trips to Tottenham) and the pressure of maintaining elite standards, any prolonged slump could intensify calls for change.

The real drama? Whether Pep stays long-term or chooses to step away voluntarily after 10 years. But sacking him mid-season would be a monumental call given his track record.

This market on Predicta Markets is live and moving—will results stabilize, or will the pressure boil over? Head over to Predicta Markets now to place your bets on whether Pep Guardiola will be fired by the end of the 2025-26 season. What side are you on? Drop your predictions in the comments! 🚀

Will Pep Guardiola be fired by the end of the season?
City sit 4 points behind Arsenal after a rocky start to 2026. What's your call?

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